US Open Tips 2019

By Mike Flaherty, June 2019

US Open’s held at Pebble Beach Golf Links

The 1992 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach

The scoring average the final round was 77.3, the third highest since World War II. That made Tom Kite’s even-par 72, highlighted by a wind-shaped chip-in birdie on No. 7, all the more impressive. In fact, with Colin Montgomerie holding the clubhouse lead at even-par, and hours of howling golf left to be played, Nicklaus went so far as to congratulate the Scot for winning his first U.S. Open.

But Kite’s steady play through 40 mph gusts of wind gave him a four-shot lead with four holes to go, and he held on for a two-stroke windy win to capture his first Major at 3-under. Overshadowed but equally impressive, Jeff Sluman closed with a 1-under 71 to finish second, two behind Kite.


The 2000 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach

With the U.S. Open celebrating its 100th playing at Pebble Beach Golf Links, Tiger Woods put on a show for the ages.

Woods was ruthlessly dominant, tying or setting nine U.S. Open records – including the biggest lead after two rounds (six shots), three rounds (10 shots) and four rounds (15 shots). His play transcended eras, as the previous record for margin-of-victory at any Major was set during the American Civil War.

Woods did not three-putt all week, while one-putting 34 of the 72 greens. He played the first 22 holes without a bogey, as well as the final 26. He tied the all-time scoring record at a U.S. Open when nobody else in the field broke par. He also opened the tournament with a 6-under 65, the lowest score ever shot at Pebble Beach during a U.S. Open.

The 2010 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach

As a boy growing up along the rugged Portrush peninsula in Northern Ireland, Graeme McDowell would fantasize that he had two putts to win the U.S. Open Championship. He lived out that dream, two-putting for par to capture the 2010 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach Golf Links.

The 30-year-old McDowell posted a steady even-par 284 to hold off a star-studded leaderboard that included Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Ernie Els and third-round leader Dustin Johnson to win his first Major and become the first European champion since England’s Tony Jacklin in 1970.

“This is just a special golf course to win,” McDowell said. “Pebble Beach, it’s such a special venue. To join the list of names—Tom Kite, Tom Watson, Tiger Woods, Jack Nicklaus — I can’t believe I’m standing here as a Major champion.”


The 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach

Pebble Beach Golf Links and the USGA will again celebrate a Centennial together, when the U.S. Open returns for a sixth time in 2019. Opened in 1919, Pebble Beach will be celebrating its own Centennial, as well as hosting its 13th USGA championship.

“Pebble Beach is a magical place,” said Tom O’Toole, President of the USGA. “It is one of our most treasured U.S. Open sites.”

Pebble Beach Golf Links

Pebble Beach has been rated the greatest public golf course in America by Golf Digest since its rankings came out in 2003. It hosts its sixth U.S. Open in 2019, and will host its first U.S. Women’s Open in 2023.

  • Holes: 18
  • Par: 72
  • Rating: 75.1
  • Slope: 145
  • Yardage: 6,828

Past Champions

 

2000 Tiger Woods 272 Ernie Els 287
Miguel Angel Jiménez 287
2001 Retief Goosen 276 Mark Brooks 276
2002 Tiger Woods 277 Phil Mickelson 280
2003 Jim Furyk 272 Stephen Leaney 275
2004 Retief Goosen 276 Phil Mickelson 278
2005 Michael Campbell 280 Tiger Woods 282
2006 Geoff Ogilvy 285 Jim Furyk 286
Phil Mickelson 286
Colin Montgomerie 286
2007 Ángel Cabrera 285 Jim Furyk 286
Tiger Woods 286
2008 Tiger Woods 283 Rocco Mediate 283
2009 Lucas Glover 276 Ricky Barnes 278
David Duval 278
Phil Mickelson 278
2010 Graeme McDowell 284 Grégory Havret 285
2011 Rory McIlroy 268 Jason Day 276
2012 Webb Simpson 281 Graeme McDowell 282
Michael Thompson 282
2013 Justin Rose 281 Jason Day 283
Phil Mickelson 283
2014 Martin Kaymer 271 Erik Compton 279
Rickie Fowler 279
2015 Jordan Spieth 275 Dustin Johnson 276
Louis Oosthuizen 276
2016 Dustin Johnson 276 Jim Furyk 279
Shane Lowry 279
Scott Piercy 279
2017 Brooks Koepka 272 Brian Harman 276
Hideki Matsuyama 276
2018 Brooks Koepka 281 Tommy Fleetwood 282

Mike Flaherty Picks

Six picks with odds lower than 100/1 

Jason Day (AUS) 28/1

Bet365-6th June 2019

Previous US Open Record: 2-59-2-4-9-8-MC-MC

The world number sixteen is hungry for glory this week.  Already a major champion winning the PGA Championship back in 2015, so knows how to get the job done, if push comes to shove on Sunday afternoon. Runner up twice at the US Open in the past along with three top ten’s is pretty impressive. The two missed cuts in 2017 and 2018 are not that much of a worry on courses that did not suit Jason’s game, bit like the Memorial the other week, not a track he gets on with. 

But at Pebble Beach this is somewhere he feels very much at home. He always seems to have good results at the AT&T where of course Pebble features. 

Good off the tee percentage is key this week, and this has been a factor with all previous winners, he ticks that box. Driving Distance inside the top thirty and another key factor is his overall putting ninth on the PGA Tour. I feel he is ready to have a great week and be a contender.     

Phil Mickelson (USA) 50/1

Bet365-6th June 2019

Previous US Open Record: 29-55-MC-47-4-94-43-10-2-16-7-2-55-2-33-2-MC-18-2-4-54-65-2-28-64-MC-48

The gentle giant, what a career and what a complete gentleman. This man backs up what he says so many times and I reckon after him witnessing Tiger win the Masters this year, something is lurking around the corner.  To be fair I was surprised to see the odds so low for him this week, having not played that well all season compared to his own high standards.   

I just love the way he plays Pebble Beach he finds the challenge so exciting still, we had the pleasure of spending an afternoon with Phil on the short game area a few weeks back and boy what a privilege that was. The point I am making is, a high-level short game is a must around here and being able to visualize and execute a vast array of chip shots is a must, and no one better in my mind.   

Oh, and just another thing his only win of this season came at the AT&T at Pebble Beach, with four amazing rounds of 65/68/70/65.        

Justin Thomas (USA) 28/1

Bet365/SkyBet-6th June 2019

Previous US Open Record: MC-32-9-25

Another player who has a great chance of picking up his second major win. Talk about a player in form this season, not many out there better than this record below:

  • CIMB Classic – 5th 
  • Hero – 12th
  • Sentry – 3rd
  • Sony Open – 16th
  • Phoenix Open  – 3rd
  • Genesis Open – 2nd
  • WGC Mexico – 9th
  • Masters – 12th

His stats are pretty imprssive reading too, which has seen him reach number six in the world rankings. One key factor for me, has to be his greens in regulation at over 75% WOW. birdie average 4.83 first on the PGA Tour. I also feel a good touch on the greens, as players will have a lot of those twenty five feet plus approach putts this week and he is one of the best we have seen out there.    

One thing to note previous good results have shown he starts well, so watch for a low start and he could go all the way.    

Paul Casey (ENG) 50/1

Betfair/Bet365/PaddyPower-6th June 2019

Previous US Open Record: MC-MC-WD-15-10-65-MC-40-54-MC-45-56-39-MC-26-16

Steady Eddie and a lifelong seasoned professional in majors, seventeen years to be exact and has been very close. Admittedly the Masters has been his better performances thus far out of all the majors, which is strange seeing as the British Open and US Open should suit his game better. 

He had his second-best result at the US Open last year finishing in sixteenth spot. Already a winner this season at the Valspar and was a runner up at the AT&T where he showed some great golf around the Pebble Beach Links. 

The GBT team followed him around at the Charles Schwab first round, where he was reported to be putting the best he has done for quite some time. He just loves Pebble Beach and i feel should fit right in and he might finally get his hands on that Major he so deserves. 

 

Matt Kuchar (USA) 66/1

Betfair/Bet365/PaddyPower-6th June 2019

Previous US Open Record:MC-MC-MC-48-MC-6-14-27-28-12-12-46-16-MC 

Love him or hate him, when it comes to betting feelings should not come into it. I see it too many times friends and people I meet, betting on the same old players year on year because they like them, you might as well just throw your money away. 🙂    

Anyway, getting back to Matt, everything about what he has achieved this season is very special, and he has to be on your betting slip, lots of places still have him at 66/1 

His Majors so far have been great reading too, grabbing a twelfth place at the Masters and then another top ten at the PGA Championship. He ticks all the right boxes for this course and his previous history is also good around here.   

Louis Oosthuizen (RSA) 90/1

Bet365-6th June 2019

Previous US Open Record:MC-9-MC-WD-40-2-23-23-16

Louis looks to be a great little bet here this week at 90’s. He tops most of the stats on the European Tour this season and has also picked up a win on his home soil at the SA Open. His results on the PGA Tour have been impressive too where he was close to winning the Valspar shooting a weekend 66/69. So, we know his game is in top shape he has already won a Major so that box is already ticked.   

His major win came on a links course where the winds were swirling all week. Most of this week will be a test of mental and physical demands and making the right choices. I feel Louis has this and has shown this previously. The last time he played at Pebble in a major was 2010 where he was a rookie so missing the cut was not too much of a worry. In the nine years since then he has gained some serious knowledge around Pebble and it should suit his game.  

I like a top ten bet here as well.     

Five picks with odds between 100/1 and 200/1 

Graeme McDowell (NIR)

125/1-William Hill-7th June 2019

Haotong Li (CHN)

200/1-BetVictor-6th June 2019

Si Woo Kim (KOR)

150/1-Various

Lucas Glover (USA) 150/1

Bet365/WilliamHill/RoyalPanda-6th June 2019

Byeong Hun An (KOR) 164/1

MarathonBet-6th June 2019

Big Outsiders with odds of over 300/1-Might also be worth looking at top 10 or 20 market 

Nick Taylor (CAN) 500/1

Skybet/Bet365/BoyleSports-6th June 2019

Tom Hoge (USA) 1000/1

888/Unibet-6th June 2019

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