US Open Tips 2019
By Mike Flaherty, June 2019
US Open’s held at Pebble Beach Golf Links
The 1992 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach
The scoring average the final round was 77.3, the third highest since World War II. That made Tom Kite’s even-par 72, highlighted by a wind-shaped chip-in birdie on No. 7, all the more impressive. In fact, with Colin Montgomerie holding the clubhouse lead at even-par, and hours of howling golf left to be played, Nicklaus went so far as to congratulate the Scot for winning his first U.S. Open.
But Kite’s steady play through 40 mph gusts of wind gave him a four-shot lead with four holes to go, and he held on for a two-stroke windy win to capture his first Major at 3-under. Overshadowed but equally impressive, Jeff Sluman closed with a 1-under 71 to finish second, two behind Kite.
The 2000 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach
With the U.S. Open celebrating its 100th playing at Pebble Beach Golf Links, Tiger Woods put on a show for the ages.
Woods was ruthlessly dominant, tying or setting nine U.S. Open records – including the biggest lead after two rounds (six shots), three rounds (10 shots) and four rounds (15 shots). His play transcended eras, as the previous record for margin-of-victory at any Major was set during the American Civil War.
Woods did not three-putt all week, while one-putting 34 of the 72 greens. He played the first 22 holes without a bogey, as well as the final 26. He tied the all-time scoring record at a U.S. Open when nobody else in the field broke par. He also opened the tournament with a 6-under 65, the lowest score ever shot at Pebble Beach during a U.S. Open.
The 2010 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach
As a boy growing up along the rugged Portrush peninsula in Northern Ireland, Graeme McDowell would fantasize that he had two putts to win the U.S. Open Championship. He lived out that dream, two-putting for par to capture the 2010 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach Golf Links.
The 30-year-old McDowell posted a steady even-par 284 to hold off a star-studded leaderboard that included Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Ernie Els and third-round leader Dustin Johnson to win his first Major and become the first European champion since England’s Tony Jacklin in 1970.
“This is just a special golf course to win,” McDowell said. “Pebble Beach, it’s such a special venue. To join the list of names—Tom Kite, Tom Watson, Tiger Woods, Jack Nicklaus — I can’t believe I’m standing here as a Major champion.”
The 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach
Pebble Beach Golf Links and the USGA will again celebrate a Centennial together, when the U.S. Open returns for a sixth time in 2019. Opened in 1919, Pebble Beach will be celebrating its own Centennial, as well as hosting its 13th USGA championship.
“Pebble Beach is a magical place,” said Tom O’Toole, President of the USGA. “It is one of our most treasured U.S. Open sites.”
Pebble Beach Golf Links
Pebble Beach has been rated the greatest public golf course in America by Golf Digest since its rankings came out in 2003. It hosts its sixth U.S. Open in 2019, and will host its first U.S. Women’s Open in 2023.
- Holes: 18
- Par: 72
- Rating: 75.1
- Slope: 145
- Yardage: 6,828
|2000||Tiger Woods||272||Ernie Els||287|
|Miguel Angel Jiménez||287|
|2001||Retief Goosen||276||Mark Brooks||276|
|2002||Tiger Woods||277||Phil Mickelson||280|
|2003||Jim Furyk||272||Stephen Leaney||275|
|2004||Retief Goosen||276||Phil Mickelson||278|
|2005||Michael Campbell||280||Tiger Woods||282|
|2006||Geoff Ogilvy||285||Jim Furyk||286|
|2007||Ángel Cabrera||285||Jim Furyk||286|
|2008||Tiger Woods||283||Rocco Mediate||283|
|2009||Lucas Glover||276||Ricky Barnes||278|
|2010||Graeme McDowell||284||Grégory Havret||285|
|2011||Rory McIlroy||268||Jason Day||276|
|2012||Webb Simpson||281||Graeme McDowell||282|
|2013||Justin Rose||281||Jason Day||283|
|2014||Martin Kaymer||271||Erik Compton||279|
|2015||Jordan Spieth||275||Dustin Johnson||276|
|2016||Dustin Johnson||276||Jim Furyk||279|
|2017||Brooks Koepka||272||Brian Harman||276|
|2018||Brooks Koepka||281||Tommy Fleetwood||282|
Mike Flaherty Picks
Six picks with odds lower than 100/1
Jason Day (AUS) 28/1
Bet365-6th June 2019
Previous US Open Record: 2-59-2-4-9-8-MC-MC
But at Pebble Beach this is somewhere he feels very much at home. He always seems to have good results at the AT&T where of course Pebble features.
Good off the tee percentage is key this week, and this has been a factor with all previous winners, he ticks that box. Driving Distance inside the top thirty and another key factor is his overall putting ninth on the PGA Tour. I feel he is ready to have a great week and be a contender.
Phil Mickelson (USA) 50/1
Bet365-6th June 2019
Previous US Open Record: 29-55-MC-47-4-94-43-10-2-16-7-2-55-2-33-2-MC-18-2-4-54-65-2-28-64-MC-48
I just love the way he plays Pebble Beach he finds the challenge so exciting still, we had the pleasure of spending an afternoon with Phil on the short game area a few weeks back and boy what a privilege that was. The point I am making is, a high-level short game is a must around here and being able to visualize and execute a vast array of chip shots is a must, and no one better in my mind.
Oh, and just another thing his only win of this season came at the AT&T at Pebble Beach, with four amazing rounds of 65/68/70/65.
Justin Thomas (USA) 28/1
Bet365/SkyBet-6th June 2019
Previous US Open Record: MC-32-9-25
- CIMB Classic – 5th
- Hero – 12th
- Sentry – 3rd
- Sony Open – 16th
- Phoenix Open – 3rd
- Genesis Open – 2nd
- WGC Mexico – 9th
- Masters – 12th
His stats are pretty imprssive reading too, which has seen him reach number six in the world rankings. One key factor for me, has to be his greens in regulation at over 75% WOW. birdie average 4.83 first on the PGA Tour. I also feel a good touch on the greens, as players will have a lot of those twenty five feet plus approach putts this week and he is one of the best we have seen out there.
One thing to note previous good results have shown he starts well, so watch for a low start and he could go all the way.
Paul Casey (ENG) 50/1
Betfair/Bet365/PaddyPower-6th June 2019
Previous US Open Record: MC-MC-WD-15-10-65-MC-40-54-MC-45-56-39-MC-26-16
He had his second-best result at the US Open last year finishing in sixteenth spot. Already a winner this season at the Valspar and was a runner up at the AT&T where he showed some great golf around the Pebble Beach Links.
The GBT team followed him around at the Charles Schwab first round, where he was reported to be putting the best he has done for quite some time. He just loves Pebble Beach and i feel should fit right in and he might finally get his hands on that Major he so deserves.
Matt Kuchar (USA) 66/1
Betfair/Bet365/PaddyPower-6th June 2019
Previous US Open Record:MC-MC-MC-48-MC-6-14-27-28-12-12-46-16-MC
Anyway, getting back to Matt, everything about what he has achieved this season is very special, and he has to be on your betting slip, lots of places still have him at 66/1
His Majors so far have been great reading too, grabbing a twelfth place at the Masters and then another top ten at the PGA Championship. He ticks all the right boxes for this course and his previous history is also good around here.
Louis Oosthuizen (RSA) 90/1
Bet365-6th June 2019
Previous US Open Record:MC-9-MC-WD-40-2-23-23-16
His major win came on a links course where the winds were swirling all week. Most of this week will be a test of mental and physical demands and making the right choices. I feel Louis has this and has shown this previously. The last time he played at Pebble in a major was 2010 where he was a rookie so missing the cut was not too much of a worry. In the nine years since then he has gained some serious knowledge around Pebble and it should suit his game.
I like a top ten bet here as well.
Five picks with odds between 100/1 and 200/1
Graeme McDowell (NIR)
125/1-William Hill-7th June 2019
Haotong Li (CHN)
200/1-BetVictor-6th June 2019
Si Woo Kim (KOR)
Lucas Glover (USA) 150/1
Bet365/WilliamHill/RoyalPanda-6th June 2019
Byeong Hun An (KOR) 164/1
MarathonBet-6th June 2019
Big Outsiders with odds of over 300/1-Might also be worth looking at top 10 or 20 market
Nick Taylor (CAN) 500/1
Skybet/Bet365/BoyleSports-6th June 2019
Tom Hoge (USA) 1000/1
888/Unibet-6th June 2019