Charles Schwab Challenge 11-14 June Tips Report 2020

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Mike Flaherty’s Picks

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WEBB SIMPSON (USA) 25/1 – 8 PLACES WILLIAM HILL – BET £5 EW

TONY FINAU (USA) 40/1 – 7 PLACES CORAL – BET £5 EW

JORDAN SPIETH (USA) 50/1 – 7 PLACES – BET £5 EW – 1st RD LEADER BET 50/1 £2.5 EW

HARRIS ENGLISH (USA) 80/1 – 8 PLACES BOYLE SPORTS – BET £5 EW

MATT KUCHAR (USA) 50/1 – 8 PLACES WILLIAM HILL – BET £5 EW

GARY WOODLAND (USA) 55/1 – 8 PLACES WILLIAM HILL – BET £5 EW

LANTO GRIFFIN (USA) 175/1 – 9 PLACES SKY BET – BET £5 EW

JAZZ JANEWATTANAOND (THA) 250/1 – 7 PLACES – BET £4 EW – TOP 20 BET 10/1 £5

JOSH TEATER (USA) 500/1 – VARIOUS – BET £2.5 EW

ADAM HADWIN (CAN) 125/1 – 8 PLACES VARIOUS – BET £5 EW

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COLONIAL COUNTRY CLUB – 7,000 YARDS PAR 70

Perry Maxwell (1936) / Keith Foster (2008)

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We give credit to Texas golf historian Frances G. Trimble for establishing the fact that Perry Maxwell, not John Bredemus, originally designed Colonial Country Club for Fort Worth businessman Marvin Leonard. Both architects submitted routings. Maxwell’s was used, while Bredemus supervised construction.

Colonial sported the first bent-grass greens in Texas when it opened in 1936. In 1939, the USGA awarded Colonial its 1941 U.S. Open, the first ever in Texas, so Leonard brought Maxwell back to toughen the course. He added 56 bunkers and created the present par-3 fourth and par-4 fifth (two of the famed Horrible Horseshoe trio of holes) and a par-3 13th (since replaced following a 1968 rechannelling of the Trinity River). Keith Foster’s 2008 restoration wasn’t to everyone’s satisfaction. In 2019, Gil Hanse will rebuild the course again to re-establish the Maxwell bunker style.

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KEY FACTORS AND TRENDS

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Greens: Bent Grass – Fairways: Bermuda Grass – Course Record: 61
Most of the winners here have scored very high on accuracy, with a very high percentage from off the tee accuracy. Giving them plenty of chances to attack the greens and avoiding the many bunkers that have been added around here.
Bent Grass greens are not the easiest of putting surfaces to return too after such a long layoff. Edged for players who have a history of good form on this type of set up and lay out, will give them a distinct advantage for sure. Three putt avoidance is a must.
A proper pure ball striker will be close to the top of the leader-board this week.
With the courses across Asian opening up a lot earlier, plenty of the Asian players are already warmed up and ready to go low this week. We got to see this with Jazz already.

PAST WINNERS

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2010	Zach Johnson	259	Brian Davis	262
2011	David Toms	265	Charlie Wi	266
2012	Zach Johnson	268	Jason Dufner	269
2013	Boo Weekley	266	Matt Kuchar	267
2014	Adam Scott	271	Jason Dufner	271
2015	Chris Kirk	268	Jason Bohn	269
			Brandt Snedeker	269
			Jordan Spieth	269
2016	Jordan Spieth	263	Harris English	266
2017	Kevin Kisner	270	Sean O’Hair	271
			Jon Rahm	271
			Jordan Spieth	271
2018	Justin Rose	260	Brooks Koepka	263
2019	Kevin Na	267	Tony Finau	271

Mike Flaherty’s Picks

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WEBB SIMPSON (USA) 25/1

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We do not give out tips this low in the odds unless we think it could and should be a banker. Here are just a few things that made our minds up this week.

Ball Striking PGA Tour 30 rounds – 3rd
Approach to the Green – 7th
SG Putting – 13th
SG Tee to Green – 16th
Driving Accuracy – 66% – 40th

Pretty good reading when you think only Rory is ahead of him in the scoring average over twenty rounds of golf. Already a winner this season remember I tipped him to win the Waste Management and he came through for us. Could he be picking up his seventh PGA title here this week.

Par four scoring is another big factor here and he ticks that box as well.

I feel we might put a £5 EW bet on here as well as a £5 to win bet.

TONY FINAU (USA) 40/1

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Top of the shop for me has to be Tony to hit the ground running with a good chance of winning his second PGA Tour title on this course.

Everything to shoot and score well around here he just ticks so many boxes. Another good trend I picked up on whilst reviewing past champions here, nearly 70% of them managed a top twenty finish at this event the year before they won it. Tony was a runner up here last year just came up against a very in form Kevin Na, in fact Kevin in 2018 finished in fourth place.

Approach to the Green – 10th
Tee to Green – 7th
Around the Green – 6th

The putter has not been great this season but we know a lot of work has gone into this over the past couple of months, and coming back to a place where he loves Bent grass greens it couldn’t be a better great place to start.

Yet another positive with Tony is the fact he seems to always start the season of well after a break, start of 2020 after Xmas he went:

14th – American Express
6th – Farmers
2nd – Waste Management

He is valued at 40/1 with many bookmakers paying 7 places, 42/1 on Betfair EXCH – Odds taken 4th June.

JORDAN SPIETH (USA) 50/1

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Another great looking bet was Jordan for me. Something even before lockdown showed me positives in his overall speed of play and his quicker response on the greens. This has improved a lot from what we have been able to see with limited access to the practice facilities this week. He seems a lot more, free flowing with his putting stroke and we all know how well he can putt if he finds his mojo this week watch out field.

Some factors to back up his putting improvement the last time he played in Mexico, was his overall strokes gained putting was 1.586 better per round than the field.

Not much else to say to be honest here. If he turns up starts firing at the flags early, he could also be on for a first round leader bet too.

Bet £5 EW as well as £2.5 EW 1st Round leader odds 50/1

GARY WOODLAND (USA) 55/1

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Gary Woodland with odds at over 40/1 I am always interested. He is the best ball striker on the PGA Tour and don’t let this type of course put you off backing him. He has so much more than a grip it and rip it game, and seems to enjoy the challenge of shorter courses.

Six top ten finishes already for the season, his last outing was at the Honda Classic where we had the privilege of walking inside the ropes with him on the final round. Class pure Class is all the team had to say.

US Open Major winner 2019, number one at ball striking and playing some of his best golf this season, priced at 55/1. I like it a LOT

Will Bet £5 EW here 55/1 William Hill paying 8 places.

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MATT KUCHAR (USA) 45/1

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Love him or hate him the good guy will be on many betting slips this week. Class is everything and he has bags of it. So pre lockdown his last four events read:

Waste Management – 16th
AT&T – 38th
Genesis – 2nd
WGC Mexico – 22nd

Matt is one of the only players that we have heard enjoyed the break and felt it gave him some time to work on tightening up his game as well as resting and enjoying his family.

This course could not a better starting place for him, to come out attacking early doors. Accuracy off the tee a top twenty player on the PGA tour stats, we know he is a good putter what I like from any player this week, will be three putt avoidance he also ranks quite well in this department hitting only nine three putts in 504 holes.

Good price across the board with many going 45/1 with good places around too. £5 EW Bet.

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HARRIS ENGLISH (USA) 80/1

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Harris is ranked as high as 155 in the world. This was a shock to me with five top ten finishes already on the PGA Tour this season, it is only a matter of time before he picks up his third title. One of the best iron players the team have seen this week by far, his greens in regulation is as high as 73%.

Great putter as well, sitting inside the top twenty-five for Total putting on the PGA Tour stats.

All the boxes are lit here strange to see him at such a high price in the market.

Going £5 EW bet here was 80/1 on Friday the 5th June, this price will come down I am sure of it.

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ADAM HADWIN (CAN) 125/1

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If ever there was a horse for courses fit at the Colonial golf course, it would have Adam Hadwin. He has now become a more complete player, prove is in the pudding where for over a year he has managed to sit comfortably around the top fifty in the world rankings.

The team got to follow him a couple of times at the back end of 2019, he was impressive tee to green at the Safeway Open, and then followed that up the week after at the Shriners with a staggering 90% GIR and 83% Driving accuracy.

He is one off the purest ball strikers out there and this place should be right up his alley. Solid putter who averages half a shot a round better on most of the field week in week out.

Great price and I am looking at a £5 EW bet here. PP have him at 100/1 paying 10 places. On the Betfair Exch he was 156/1 on Monday.

LANTO GRIFFIN (USA) 175/1

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This guy is a work horse and probably explains why he has been taking some well-earned advice and coaching tips from the master of practice himself Mr Vijay Singh. This practice partnership happened we believe because they were normally the last two on the practice range at most events, so the friendship was born.

His start to 2019/20 season was slightly better than his first full year on the PGA with four missed cuts in his first five events. I put that down to early nerves and inexperience playing with the world’s top players, it can have that effect on any rookie.

He has now become a winner on the PGA Tour picking up the Houston Open title, and followed that with another three top ten finishes.

Fits and ticks a lot of boxes for me at this track, it will be his first time here and he could go firing early doors around here.

Going to stick with a £5 EW bet here just think he should be more like 60/1 not 175/1.

JOSH TEATER (USA) 587/1- Exchange Betfair

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Big hit and miss tip this one. He blows hot and cold probably explains the odds this high. Seven missed cuts already this season but when you look at the ones, he made the cuts in, pretty good reading.

Eleventh in Bermuda and then a Second in Puerto Rico so if he makes the cut, he seems to always finish strong over the weekend. Check out his previous records at the Colonial:

2011 – 16th
2012 – 57th
2013 – 7th
2014 – 38th
2019 – 17th

Coming back to a place he loves and with a second-place finish so close to lock down, not going to back my life on him, but he could turn up here all depends on his first round and putting stats.

Going to bet £2.50 EW at 500/1 various bookies paying at least 7 places. PP paying 10 at 300/1.

JAZZ JANEWATTANAOND (THA) 250/1

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One of the GBT’s top players and friends. For those that have been with us a while you will know this. As a lot of the GBT team our based in Thailand we get to see most of the young talent coming through and Jazz could be one of those to follow in the footsteps of Thongchai Jaidee.

Right so why is he in this week. He will not feature on many betting slips this week that’s for sure. We saw him practice in Thailand three to four weeks ago now and he managed to give us a bit of time to explain his current swing thoughts and overall game. He is positive and striking it so well. For a player ranked 39th in the world yes you read that right a top 50 elite player with odds this big hmmmmm. TASTY

He was 300/1 last week but down to 250/1 across the board going to stick with a £4 EW bet here. Might also put £5 on a top 20′ finish at 10/1.

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Please note the odds might well have changed. These odds were taken when we posted the weekly report. Thanks

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