Omega Dubai Desert Classic + Farmers Insurance Open 23-26 Jan 2020

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TIPS RE-CAP

PAUL WARING (ENG) 55/1 – SKYBET 8 PLACES
ERIK VAN ROOYEN (RSA) 40/1 – SKYBET 8 PLACES
VICTOR PEREZ (FRA) 28/1 – UNIBET 6 PLACES
BRANDON STONE (RSA) 125/1 – SKYBET 8 PLACES

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23 – 26 JAN 2020

Omega Dubai Desert Classic

Emirates GC, Dubai, UAE

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Emirates Golf Club located in Dubai; UAE is an 18-hole golf course in Dubai. It was built in 1988, with the clubhouse and facilities designed and delivered by Dubai architect BSBG, and is the first grass golf course in the Middle East. It is the longest running European Tour tournament in the Middle East, the Omega Dubai Desert Classic, has incredibly, in the last two years, provided two winners who subsequently went on to win the Masters Tournament that same year. Sergio Garcia and Danny Willett.

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Players Suited

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Driving is key this week add to that is a very good GIR stat, should be the ones to watch. Gone for some players who have also played well here with some very good value odds. I like the look of the 8th hole this week a par 4 dogleg 434 yards and plays uphill to a small green which is one of the toughest on the course. I would say whoever has the best scoring on this hole over the four days will not be far away come Sunday afternoon.

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Past Results and Odds

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2019 – Bryson Dechambeau ( 10/1)
2018 – Haotong Li (110/1)
2017 – Sergio Garcia (20/1)
2016 – Danny Willett (40/1)
2015 – Rory Mcilroy (7/2)
2014 – Stephen Gallacher (45/1)
2013 – Stephen Gallacher (70/1)
2012 – Rafa Cabrera Bello (125/1)

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PAUL WARING (ENG) 55/1

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Paul is closing in on his second ET title. Twelfth place last week and was hitting it well. The thing that the team noticed was his putting he holed out a lot of distance putts over the four days. Closing with a pair of 67’s he will take a lot of confidence and enjoy playing back at the Emirates this week.

Over 70% greens in regulation is always going to set you up with a lot of birdie chances and with his putting improved a lot since last season, he will be making a lot more birdies for sure.

It took him two hundred starts on the European Tour to bag his first win, that came in 2018 at the Nordea Masters. He also had a few chances last year to add to his winning tally, he was close to winning this event last year, but no-one was going to catch Bryson who won it by seven shots in the end.

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ERIK VAN ROOYEN (RSA) 35/1

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Put Erik in a few times last year and never really delivered for us. So, he is well overdue a good result that’s for sure.

I know we are only a few events into 2020 but he is on fire, twenty second place at his own SA Open. He then followed that up with a solid twelfth place last week in Abu Dhabi.

The driver has not been his best friend of late, but he could get away with that a little bit here this week. The impressive part of his game this season is the flat stick. He looks so comfortable on the greens and has been working hard in practice the past couple of days.

If everything comes together this week he should feature. We have just got to pray he can keep the big numbers off the card.

VICTOR PEREZ (FRA) 35/1

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I feel he could be on a lot of betting slips this week. Check out his last five events:

France Open – 16th
WGC HSBC – 4th
Turkish Open – 2nd
DP World Tour – 20th
Abu Dhabi HSBC – 2nd

I think it is only a matter of time before he wins again and feel this track could be right up his alley. Like I said experience around here means a lot and feel his first appearance at this event last year was a big positive. He shot four under par rounds and closed with a top thirty finish.

In the space of four years he has climbed the world rankings from 1711 to now an impressive 41 in the world. WOW!!

Over 80% in greens in regulation, second on the European Tour rankings for Putts per GIR. Stroke average is 67.75 three shots better than the tour average. He should have a great run this week.

BRANDON STONE (RSA) 125/1

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Brandon started 2020 with a missed cut at the SA Open, he then followed that with some great play last week at the HSBC rounding off a great week closing with two rounds in the sixties 66/69.

Big hitter and quite straight these days is a great combo for around here especially when you can putt as well as him. Should make for plenty of birdies this week. I really feel the Xmas break came at the wrong time for him he ended the year at the Mauritius with four rounds in the red and was close to picking up his fourth European Tour title.

The other factor is his previous wins have been on very tough tracks and this is one tough cookie if your ball striking is off. He is a real contender and if his ball striking of what we have seen on the range is anything to go by, then we are all in for a treat.

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TIPS RE-CAP

BUD CAULEY (USA) 80/1 – All EW Bets VARIOUS – BETFAIR 156/1
HARRIS ENGLISH (USA) 80/1 – All EW Bets PP 8 PLACES – BETFAIR 117/1
CAMERON SMITH (AUS) 40/1 – All EW Bets SKYBET 8 PLACES
JOEL DAHMEN (USA) 100/1 – All EW Bets VARIOUS – BETFAIR 175/1
TALOR GOOCH (USA) 125/1 – All EW Bets SKYBET 8 PLACES – BETFAIR 156/1
TALOR GOOCH – 11/1 Top 10 – 5/1 Top 20 Optional bets

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TORREY PINES GC (SOUTH)

JAN 23 – 26, 2020

SAN DIEGO, CA

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Torrey Pines GC (South), 7,698 yards, par 72. Meandering along cliffs fronting the Pacific Ocean, William Bell’s 1957 design turned an old-World War II army base into one of the PGA Tour’s more scenic venues. The Tours annual San Diego stop relocated to the city-owned layout in 1968, and it hosts the Junior Worlds each July. A Rees Jones upgrade in 2001 helped Torrey Pines land the 2008 U.S. Open, captured by Woods in an epic playoff over Rocco Mediate, and it has been tabbed to host the major again in 2021. Torrey Pines’ North course (7,258/72), which debuted a Tom Weiskopf redesign last year, again will be used for the first two rounds.

72 Hole Record – 266, George Burns (1987), Tiger Woods (1999)
18 Hole Record – 61, Mark Brooks (2nd round, 1990) and Brandt Snedeker (1st round, 2007) at Torrey Pines North, predating the Weiskopf redesign. South course record: 62, Tiger Woods (3rd round, 1999). Redesigned North record: 65, Justin Rose (1st round, 2017).

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Players Suited

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Experience here is key. It can gust quite strong from time to time being next to the Pacific Ocean. Depending how long they grow the rough up this week it could be a major factor, we have heard they have been quite reasonable so far, and should be the same conditions to last year here. The greens can get up to some of the fastest on the PGA Tour all depending on the daily conditions. Key trends I have looked for this week. Good wind players, Accuracy from tee to green. Distance is not that much of a factor but does help as has shown with previous winners.

Gary Woodland if I was going to pick a low odds player would be the pick of the bunch this week, everything stands out for me, just not enough value though for GBT’s picks.

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Past Results and Odds

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2019 – Justin Rose ( 14/1)
2018 – Jason Day (22/1)
2017 – Jon Rahm (55/1)
2016 – Brandt Snedeker (18/1)
2015 – Jason Day (14/1)
2014 – Scott Stallings (250/1)
2013 – Tiger Woods (15/2)
2012 – Brandt Snedeker (22/1)
2011 – Bubba Watson (66/1)

BUD CAULEY (USA) 80/1

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He is a player on some great run of form of late. Six events into the season and already managed two top ten’s and three top twenty five finishes. Last week if it was not for his very average third round, he could have been close to picking up the trophy.

He goes in for me this week purely based on his putting, this week we could see some of the fastest and most tricky greens for the year. Off the tee he is solid combined with a steady green in regulation stat. But again, his putter is where it has to be around here for me:

SG Putting – 1.91 4th
Total Putting – 8.7 1st
Putting Average – 1.653 12th
One Putt Percentage – 51.39% 4th
Three Putt Avoidance – 00% 1st

This should be a good week for him and could have a chance to make his first PGA Tour win.

HARRIS ENGLISH (USA) 80/1

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I am liking Harris’s chances here this week. You can forgive him his performance last week at the American Express being his first event since his missed cut at the RSM Classic on the 24/11/19. But what a start he had:

Greenbrier – 3rd
Sanderson – 6th
Houston Open – 4th
Mayakoba – 5th

I feel he has shaken off all the cobwebs last week and will be ready to go here. Also, to add to that the team managed to follow some of his round on Saturday where he shot a 64, he looked good and also missed a few putts so could have been better.

He is also coming back to a place where was a runner up in 2015 and has also managed a top ten in 2018. Twice a winner on the PGA Tour and has been knocking on that door for his third win for over five years now.

It could still be too early in the year but feel he has the game to win in 2020.

CAMERON CHAMP (AUS) 40/1

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This young Aussie if flying at the moment and coming of a great win at the Sony Open in Hawaii he ticks everything for me at this price. After his win he had a break last week so should be ready to go. He is also a great wind player which could be another key factor here this week. Gusts and some strong cross winds will get up here over the four days.

Key trends from past winners here, strokes gained putting and driving distance along with good accuracy. Not many putting better than Champ this week, and ball striking was looking pure as per on the driving range.

He will need to up his driving accuracy though this week to really become a key player, but he did win the Sony with a 64% accuracy. He has been as good as 75% at the Greenbrier if he can reproduce that high percentage, he will be close to the top of the leader board.

JOEL DAHMEN (USA) 100/1

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The team have said this is the best value bet of the week and I have to agree on paper so much to like here. On a great run of form this season ninth at the Shriners, sixth place at the Mayakoba. Then his last event at the Sony he finished strong to place in twelfth at six under par starting with a poor first round 74.

He has openly admitted to us he just loves Rees Jones designed golf courses and we could see why over the past couple of days watching him go about his business in practice.

I know that experience is a big player around here and he is fairly new to mixing it with the big boys but it could be his week to shine. He also recorded his first top ten of the year here in 2019 so lots of positives from all the team with Joel.

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