Sentry Tournament of Champions
Thursday Jan 6 – Sunday Jan 10, 2021 Kapalua, Maui
Marc Leishman (AUS) 80/1 £5EW 888 Sport 5 Places
Cameron Champ (USA) 45/1 £5EW William Hill 6 Places
Joaquin Niemann (CHI) 35/1 £5EW William Hill 6 Places
Tony Finau (USA) 25/1 £5EW William Hill 6 Places
Brendon Todd (USA) 100/1 £5EW BET365 5 Places
Kevin Kisner (USA) 60/1 £5EW William Hill 6 Places
MEN’S SLOPE RATING
TOUR | 7596 YARDS | 77.0/144
CHAMPIONSHIP | 7284 YARDS | 75.5/140
6938 YARDS | 74.0/137
Designed by Ben Crenshaw and Bill Coore, the course was designed on a grand scale in keeping with its location on the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and offers dramatic ocean views from virtually every hole. Its lengthy 7,596 yard par 73 layout challenges the pros but it’s wide fairways and generous greens make it very playable for the average golfer.
With dramatic elevation changes, this course offers plenty of downhill tee shots. You’ll feel like one of the pros when – with the aid of the aggressive slope of the 18th fairway – you will enjoy hitting one of the longest drives of your life. The Plantation Course is the site of the PGA TOUR’s Sentry Tournament of Champions each January featuring an elite field of previous year’s PGA TOUR winners.
The field has included golf greats such as Tiger Woods, Vijay Singh, Justin Leonard, Ernie Els, Davis Love III and many more. The course record is set at 62 and tied between K.J. Choi (2003), Graeme McDowell (2011), Chris Kirk (2015), Jason Day (2015) and Xander Schauffele in his final round in winning the 2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions.
|2009||Geoff Ogilvy||268||Anthony Kim||274|
|Davis Love III||274|
|2010||Geoff Ogilvy||270||Rory Sabbatini||271|
|2011||Jonathan Byrd||268||Robert Garrigus||268|
|2012||Steve Stricker||269||Martin Laird||272|
|2013||Dustin Johnson||203||Steve Stricker||207|
|2014||Zach Johnson||273||Jordan Spieth||274|
|2015||Patrick Reed||271||Jimmy Walker||271|
|2016||Jordan Spieth||262||Patrick Reed||270|
|2017||Justin Thomas||270||Hideki Matsuyama||273|
|2018||Dustin Johnson||268||Jon Rahm||276|
|2019||Xander Schauffele||269||Gary Woodland||270|
|2020||Justin Thomas||278||Patrick Reed||278|
Mike’s Hot Picks for the Week
Marc Leishman (AUS) 80/1
Marc has always been a great banker for us over the years. He has been putting in the work since the break and a player with so much talent, I believe he will start strong again for 2021.
We followed Leishman and Smith at the QBE Shootout and Marc played the best golf of that pair by miles. Of course we tipped English/Kuchar and they ended up storming to a nine shot win in the end at 9/1.
There were no stats collected from the PGA at the QBE because of the format, but we saw plenty to be happy about and his driving was well over 70% accuracy for the week, this was nearer to his driving we saw at the Masters where he managed a great 13th place finish.
He likes this event and the golf course suits his game, as was proven with two top ten’s back in 2018 and 2019.
Like I said, if the driver is on this week and I see no reason why he cant have a bad week, we have gathered some of the inside numbers from trackman with the big stick and it is looking very good for us at this price anyway.
Going for a £5 EW with 888 Sport 80/1 paying 5 places
Tony Finau (USA) 25/1
Tony owes us a win ? He has returned some cash in the past just not completed the job when needed.
He was one of those players that did not really want the break to come, his past two events he hit some amazing form bagging an eighth place at the Mayakoba and then a good show at the QBE to end up in fifth place.
His game ticks lots of boxes to fit this course set up this week, as the team have noticed following him during practice this week. Driving distance will be one of the main factors combined with strokes gained putting he covers both of these will ease.
We managed to grab a chat with him whilst he was on the putting green, he has been working hard over the break with his putting coach and feels his percentage putting from 20-30 feet is now on point so will hopefully keep the bogeys of his card this week.
He has only played here the once before back 2017 and performed well to manage a ninth place finish.
I will be betting £5EW with William Hill paying 6 places
Cameron Champ (USA) 45/1
This is another great little bet here, this is how he closed the end of 2020:
- ZOZO – 8th Place
- Masters – 19th Place
- QBE – 5th Place
So his best results of 2020 came within the space of the last couple of months of the year, he has found something in his game to be a contender this week for sure.
The one noticeable fact for his improved finishes have been the putter, he has been working hard on his stroke and it is now paying off. He showed strokes gained putting over his last three events which is something he never really does. It also helps that his iron play is now on point and this has also been proven with his GIR reaching nearly 80%.
He is creeping up the world rankings currently 67th in the world. I believe he will be a top fifty player by the end of 2021 and should start to see him picking more PGA Tour titles, and add to the two wins he has already.
Previous results here: 11th 2019 and 14th 2020
I am betting £5 EW with William Hill 45/1 paying 6 places
Brendon Todd (USA) 100/1
We tipped Todd to win the Mayakoba Golf Classic back in November 2019 at 110/1 and he bagged us the win I feel this could be another one of those weeks.
He is playing some of his best golf of his life over the past couple of years and performed well over a variety of difficult courses and venues, so this tells me he is very adaptable to changing conditions and very much in control of his club distance management.
This can only be an advantage here this week and probably explains why he has managed to get it around here with some good scores in the past. He finished up in 8th place back in 2015 and then last year also managed a top thirty place.
The history around here shows that winners have been very high in strokes gained putting he sits in 8th place on the PGA Tour averaging over a stroke gained per round on the field. Also a great driver of the ball, not the greatest of distance but with over 71% accuracy it can never be a bad thing around here.
I am betting £5EW with BET365 100/1 paying 5 places
Joaquin Niemann (CHI) 35/1
Solid bet for this week. This twenty two year old from Chile is something else and could be one of the best players to come from this great country. He has already moved from 1866 in the world rankings to 45 in the space of three years.
The 2021 season he has played six events made the cut in all six, five top 25’s and one top ten. He picked up a win in 2019 at the Greenbrier shooting rounds of 65/62/68/64.
We managed to watch him play the last four holes here in practice this week, he closed with eagle/birdie/par/birdie. The 18th is one of the longest holes in golf 20 yards just shy of 700 yards for a par 5 and no disgrace shooting par here any day.
We caught up with his coach Steve Bradley when he played the BMW Championship, where he held the 54 hole lead and was also the co-leader in the field for the Par-5’s for the week. He just said watch out for this young talent back then and he was not wrong.
I feel he will continue his great form in 2021 and maybe go a few better than last year here where he ended up in fifth place.
I betting £5EW with William Hill 35/1 paying 6 places
Kevin Kisner (USA) 60/1
Another one of our valued picks from the past and feel another good time to play him.
So he has played six events so far missed two cuts, came close at the ZOZO Championship and then his last event of the 2020 was at the RSM Classic where he looked like adding another PGA Tour title shooting rounds of 68/66/66/63 only to be beaten in a play-off against Robert Streb.
In fact his last win was when we backed him at the 2019 WGC Match Play at 80/1.
I feel he will feature a lot this week, but my only worry is if he is close on Sunday and it could go to a playoff this year, his record in playoffs is not good reading, he has lost five out of five.
Previous results here: 2015 – 9th 2018 – 17th 2020 – 14th
His game is trending in the right direction for us and he looks fit and ready to get stuck into 2021, his ball striking has also improved over the past few events which will need to be on point here with distance control a must with greens this difficult.
I am going to bet £5EW with William Hill paying 6 places