WELSH OPEN + NORTHERN TRUST BETTING REPORT 20-23 AUG 2020

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TONY FINAU-£5EW with William Hill 33/1 paying 8 places

JASON DAY-£5EW with William Hill 25/1 paying 8 places

PAUL CASEY-£5EW with Sky Bet 40/1 paying 8 places

CAMERON CHAMP-£5EW with William Hill 90/1 paying 8 places

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TPC BOSTON

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Originally designed by Arnold Palmer and considered an unmatched Massachusetts golf club, TPC Boston’s award-winning golf course was re-designed in 2007 by celebrated golf course architect Gil Hanse, with PGA TOUR player Brad Faxon serving as a consultant. The result is a compelling par-71, 7,261-yard golf course named by Golf Digest the “Best Private Remodel of 2007.”

Lush fairways, Bentgrass greens and 64 bunkers create a superb test of golf in Norton’s Great Woods. While challenging enough for the best players in the world during THE NORTHERN TRUST FedExCup playoffs, five sets of tees on each hole make the golf course enjoyable for the everyday club member and golfers of all skill levels.

TPC Boston’s 18th green was renovated in 2011 and the new design was unveiled in 2012. The par 5 now has a smaller, elevated green that is protected by a greenside pot bunker. It has proven to be a more challenging finishing hole for PGA TOUR pros.

As part of the TPC Network and home to professional golf in Boston, you can be sure that playing conditions at TPC Boston are maintained to PGA TOUR-quality standards year-round.

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GIL HANSE – TPC BOSTON ARCHITECT

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Known as one of the best traditional golf course designers in the country, Gil Hanse of Hanse Golf Course Design, Inc. collaborated with PGA TOUR player consultant Brad Faxon on a re-design of TPC Boston’s already proven layout in 2007 designed to make the course blend more naturally with its New England setting.

A protégé of noted golf course designer Tom Doak, Hanse was the recipient of the prestigious William Frederick Dreer Award during his studies at Cornell, which allowed him to spend a year in Great Britain studying the earliest examples of golf course architecture. While there, he interned with the firm of Hawtree and Son, the oldest continuously practicing golf course architectural firm in the world. These experiences had a profound influence on Hanse’s design philosophy, which focuses on preserving and protecting the integrity of the land, maximizing the natural characteristics of the terrain and minimizing human impact on the landscape during construction.

Hanse became only the third American architect to build a course in Scotland when he created Craighead Golf Links, which opened in 1998. Other notable designs include South Fork Country Club in Amagansett, Long Island; Tall Grass Golf Club at Shoreham on Long Island; Inniscone Golf Club in Avondale, Pennsylvania; and a new golf development underway on Vancouver Island, among many others.

“The (new design) now has the illusion of antiquity…TPC Boston looked great on television this year: shaggy, gnarly and old-looking. In person, it was even better: beautiful to behold, delightful to play. This was a refinement and enhancement of a course whose basic structure was sound, not a total renovation or wholesale replacement.” – Ron Whitten, Golf Course Architecture Editor (2007)

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PAST RESULTS TPC BOSTON

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2018 – BRYSON DECHAMBEAU

2017 – JUSTIN THOMAS

2016 – RORY MCLLROY

2015 – RICKIE FOWLER

2014 – CHRIS KIRK

MIKE’S PICKS

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TONY FINAU (USA) 33/1

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Known as the nearly man for us here at GBT, he has to deliver for us soon and I feel this will be that week.

Three top ten’s in his last four events, can he go one better here well no reason why not he has been impressive at TPC Boston when playing the Dell events here over the past few years. He also managed a fourth place finish at the Dell the last time it was played on the TPC Boston.

With the start of the FedEx playoffs this week it’s hard to get a lot of value now and will only get harder as the weeks go on. This course and event will see the cream rise to the top.

Top five stats for TPC Boston in order to get the win here are:

Driving Distance/Birdie or Better/SG Tee to Green/SG off the Tee/SG Putting

Tony ticks every box and should have a great week.

Betting £5EW with William Hill 33/1 paying 8 places

JASON DAY (AUS) 25/1

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Jason is my second pick for this week and what class he has shown over his past four events. How has he not bagged a win I am not quite sure?

PGA CHAMPIONSHIP – 4^TH
WGC ST JUDE – 6^TH
MEMORIAL – 4^TH
WORKDAY – 7^TH

For me has to be one of the top favourites coming into this week. Twelfth PGA Tour victories, the current worlds number 34^th player.

We watched him on the range for a bit this week and his irons and ball striking was the best we have witnessed for some time. This proves why he is near the top for strokes gained off the tee and tee to green. The putter has also been playing ball but we feel if he can get it somewhere close to when he played the Memorial he wins this event this week hands down.

Betting again £5EW with William Hill 25/1 paying 8 places.

PAUL CASEY (ENG) 45/1

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If you have followed us for over the past few years or so then you know Paul has always been a very good banker for us at GBT.

A lot of people backed Paul at the start of the return I just felt this was far too early and feel now has to be one of the best times to get him in the mix.

Ok so what is to like with Paul coming back to TPC Boston when he played in the Dell here:

2010 25^th / 2016 2^nd / 2017 4^th / 2018 21^st

Pretty impressive track record on this course I think you would agree. So he is playing his best ever golf for quite some time, his stats taken from the PGA Tour today are:

SG Off the Tee – 13^th
SG Approach the Green – 6^th
SG Tee to Green – 17^th

Ticks every box and at this price he is well worth a bet here.

Going £5EW with Sky Bet 40/1 paying 8 places – you can also get 50s

CAMERON CHAMP (USA) 90/1

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So the number one key fact to winning at TPC Boston in driving distance, so have gone for a boomer off the tee in Cameron. His driving distance average is 321 yards, only one player in front of him on the PGA which is none other than Bryson.

I just like the way he goes about his business, ok so he is a beast off the tee but unlike most he has got real talent in his overall game. He proved this by winning twice already in his short time on the PGA Tour at the Sanderson in 2019 and then just this year Safeway Open 2020.

He is a very likable chap with so many positives from his family and with a quote from his granddad reminding him of this growing up playing this great game “it’s not where you come from, it’s where you’re going”

I feel he could shine this week and really build a great lead if he starts well around here. No experience playing at TPC Boston could be the reason why his odds are so high, but like I said all boxes ticked for his style of play.

I am betting £5EW with William Hill 90/1 paying 8 places

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AARON COCKERILL-£2.50EW with BETFAIR 150/1 paying 7 places

JOHN CATLIN-£5EW with Paddy Power 90/1 paying 7 places

SAMI VALIMAKI-£5EW with SkyBet 66/1 paying 6 places

ADRIAN OTAEGUI-£5EW with SkyBet 50/1 paying 6 places

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CELTIC MANOR

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Built to stage The 2010 Ryder Cup, the first course to be built specifically for golf’s greatest team tournament, The Twenty Ten measures a robust 7,493 yards off the back tees and has a par of 71.

With water hazards on half of its holes, the course has six signature holes and presents many more memorable tests and risk-and-reward dilemmas. One of the features of the spectacular course is its variety with many of the earlier holes having a links-like feel with long rough and greenside swales, before the middle section reveals the full extent of the lake-lined challenge.

A tough finishing stretch culminates in a real sting in the tail at the 18th.

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UK SWING ORDER OF MERIT

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Position	Name
1	Sam Horsfield
2	Thomas Detry
3	Andy Sullivan
4	Rasmus Højgaard
5	Renato Paratore
6	Adrian Otaegui
7	Justin Harding
8	Alexander Bjork
9	Connor Syme
10	Chris Paisley
10	Andrew Johnston

PAST RESULTS WALES OPEN

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2014 – JOOST lUITEN

2013 – GREGORY BOURDY

2012 – THONGCHAI JAIDEE

2011 – ALEX NOREN

2010 – GRAEME MCDOWELL

MIKE’S PICKS

AARON COCKERILL (CAN) 150/1

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This young Canadian has impressed the team a lot over the past couple of weeks and he seems to be improving in confidence as well which is never a bad thing with golf.

The one thing we think why he is scored so well around Celtic Manor last week was he kept the ball in play on almost every hole, if you’re doing that and the putter gets hot it can only mean birdies.

Plenty of well-placed bunkers as well at the twenty ten course and he was impressive around the greens last week.

If he can continue this great run of form he should be able to get another good finish here this week.

Betting £2.50EW with BETFAIR 150/1 paying 7 places

JOHN CATLIN (USA) 90/1

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Mr Catlin a great friend of GBT and the whole team. Mike has even played with John whilst having some time in Thailand when he visited Springfield Royal CC. He is slowly becoming a force on the European Tour and he seems to be able to adapt his game to a wide number of playing courses.

He had a great week at the Celtic Manor shooting rounds of 68/68/69/65 to close in a tie for sixth place. He is that type of player that if he likes the setup he will deliver every time he plays it and not much will be changing here this week, they have let the rough grow a bit so accuracy will be a higher factor.

If you take many Thailand courses which he plays a lot of golf on and resort type golf then it is easy to see why he likes Celtic Manor Resort. Many blind tee shots and plotting your way around is not everyone’s game but John seems to love this style.

I am betting £5EW with Paddy Power 90/1 paying 7 places

SAMI VALIMAKI (FIN) 66/1

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It’s a bit of a bigger punt this week with Sami but feel he should be good for it.

So he started slow last week only to find something in his swing on Saturday and Sunday to really push him the right way up the leader board. His birdie or better stat improved over the weekend that’s for sure, this was mainly down to the putter and finding the correct spots on the greens to putt is always a positive playing on the twenty ten course.

He is a feel good player so when he finds his grove then he seems to carry this on week on week, I see no difference here this week and being the same course he has learnt a lot could be a danger around here.

I am betting £5EW with SkyBet 66/1 paying 6 places

ADRIAN OTAEGUI (SPA) 50/1

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When we think Adrian you might think him as a seasoned professional and you would be right but you might be surprised to find out he is only 28 years old. One career ET win under his belt came at the Paul Lawrie match play back in 2017.

Since the return of the European Tour the fields have been pretty poor and the player’s winning have been very strange, most of them have just been picked out of a hat.

Talk about trending in the right direction:

Betfred British Masters – 35^th Rounds 73/65/68/74
English Open – 2^nd Rounds 65/66/67/66
Celtic Classic – 14^th Rounds 69/67/69/68

His last eight rounds have all been under par with some impressive golf.

I just feel it could be his week and he has been doing a hell of a lot of practice with his putting coach over the past few days.

I am betting £5EW with SkyBet 50/1 paying 6 places.

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GIL HANSE – TPC BOSTON ARCHITECT

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