14 – 17 NOV 2019 

Nedbank Golf Challenge hosted by Gary Player 

Gary Player CC, Sun City, South Africa 

Par 72, 7981 Yards, Course Records – 63 Ernie Els (2002), 63 Henrik Stenson (2008) 

The Gary Player Country Club Golf Course, designed by Gary Player, is an 18-hole par-72 walking course, with a 5km running trail along the course. Built in an extinct volcanic crater, this immaculate golfing paradise conforms to the stringent US PGA specifications and was recently named South Africa’s Best Golf Course in the World Golf Awards 2015. It is also home to the annual Nedbank Golf Challenge which plays host to some of the world’s golfing legends. 

When construction of the Sun City Resort began in 1978, the decision was taken to build a golf course that would rival the best in the world. Today, in spite of stiff competition, the Gary Player Country Club is deservedly ranked as one of the most prestigious golf courses on the African continent. 

Past Results  

  • 2018 – Lee Westwood 40/1 
  • 2017 – Branden Grace 16/1 
  • 2016 – Alex Noren 20/1 
  • 2016 – Marc Leishman 66/1 
  • 2015 – Danny Willett 25/1 
  • 2014 – Thoms Bjorn 30/1 

Tips Re Cap  

  • LEE WESTWOOD (ENG) 40/1 – EW Bet  
  • BRANDEN GRACE (RSA) 50/1 – EW Bet 
  • SCOTT JAMIESON (SCO) 100/1 – EW Bet + Top 10 Bet + Top 20 Bet   
  • AARON RAI (ENG) 80/1 – EW Bet 

LEE WESTWOOD (ENG) 40/1  

He will be a favourite on many a betting slips this week and with good reason. He loves this event and this golf course: 

Past results here: 

  • 2004 – 6TH  
  • 2008 – 5TH  
  • 2010 – WINNER 
  • 2011 – WINNER  
  • 2012 – 5TH  
  • 2014 – 16TH  
  • 2017 – 6TH  
  • 2018 – WINNER 

The team were very impressed with the way Lee preformed after such a sluggish opening round last week in Turkey. He managed two bogey free rounds Friday and Saturday carding a 65 and a 68. He seemed to switch off over the closing few holes on Sunday where his iron play seemed to let him down.       

Lee also moved up eight places last week in the race to Dubai, I feel he does the same again here this week and expect another push up the leader board. His experience around here is second to none so watch this space. 

BRANDEN GRACE (RSA) 50/1 

Branden to me is a player, no matter how poor a season he is having as soon as he pegs it up in South Africa, he looks like he has been on the best form of his life. Winner of the Nedbank back in 2017 and also the Joburg Open in 2012.  

We spoke to Branden a few weeks ago and his main goal for the rest of the year was to get back into the world’s top one hundred in the rankings. He is one of these players who normally sets out challenges he feels he can achieve and manages to deliver more often than not. 

It would be fitting if he won here again as it was his last European Tour victory back in 2017. His overall stats mirrors what a player needs to win around here and at 50/1 it seems to be a great bet this week.    Betfred 50/1 paying 6 places. 

  SCOTT JAMIESON (SCO) 100/1 

Scott is a player I feel should have won this event in South Africa back in 2017. He loves his golf over in South Africa, winning his first European Tour title back in 2013 at the Nelson Mandela. Surprised he is at such a big price for him this week.  

Something seemed to improve last week, from what we saw it seemed to be his approach play meaning a high percentage of greens in regulation and the putter seemed to be switched on. 

His best season over the past five years has to be 2017, even though he did not win an event that year, he still picked up over 1.2 million euros. Last week was his best finish on Tour since the Oman Open way back in March. He normally seems to carry on a good run of form so a positive sign for this week.     

Like I said a lot of boxes ticked here and should enjoy the sunshine, could look at a top 10/20 bet here as well. 

AARON RAI (ENG) 80/1 

Aaron has made us a few pounds in the past a good player for a cash out value. He has not performed at his best this season, but the team followed him in rounds one and two last week and he was looking impressive with his ball striking.  It was only his third round that cost him a higher place which has been the same story for most of the season so far.    

What is still hard for me to believe is how good his driving stats and greens in regulation are compared to where he has been finishing week in week out.  

This would make you think the putter is at fault but no he has improved this part of his game of late as well. The other thing is he seems to perform better on harder courses and this is a brute of a test. 

I feel he will be hitting a lot of fairways and a lot of greens, if the putter gets going you never know. 

EL CAMALEON GC, NOV 14 – 17, 2019 

18 Holes    7,024 Yards    Par 72    Rating 74.8    Slope 139    Paspalum Grass

Designed by legendary Australian golfer Greg Norman and inaugurated in 2006, El Camaleón Golf Course made golf history in 2007 when it became the home of the Mayakoba Golf Classic, the first PGA TOUR event to be contested outside the US and Canada. Like the chameleon, from which it takes its name, the course offers constantly changing views as it winds through three diverse ecosystems: the tropical Mayan jungle, mangrove wetlands and the Mexican Caribbean Sea coastline.

Distinctive hazards such as cenotes (sink holes), extensive bunkers and crystal-clear fresh water canals are unique features of El Camaleón, certified by Audubon International for its commitment to the environment. 

Past Results  

  • 2019 – Matt Kuchar 60/1 
  • 2018 – Patton Kizzire 70/1 
  • 2017 – Pat Perez 125/1 
  • 2016 – Graeme McDowell 33/1 
  • 2015 – Charley Hoffman 60/1
  • 2014 – Harris English 25/1 

Tips Re Cap  

  • BRENDON TODD (USA) 110/1 – EW Bet 
  • DANNY LEE (NZ) 50/1  EW Bet 
  • LANTO GRIFFIN (USA) 50/1 – EW Bet 
  • BRICE GARNETT (USA) 80/1 – EW Bet  
  • TAYLOR GOOCH (USA) 100/1 – EW Bet 

DANNY LEE (NZ) 50/1 

What is not to like this week here with Danny. Having the best start to a season ever.  

Second place at the CJ Cup followed by a great top ten at the ZOZO Championship. Currently in 14th place on the Fed Ex Cup rankings. Driving accuracy will be a key factor here this week and he has been pretty steady off the tee and tee to green so no reason with this being a resort type course the rough will not be that penal.     

He is inside the top fifty for overall putting average and that is a good sign for the team this week. The greens will be playing a lot slower than an average PGA Tour event, this opens the door to a lot more or the so-called average putters.  

Greens in regulation at his last tournament was as high as 78%, combine that with an off the tee record sitting inside the top twenty-five. Looking good for Danny.

LANTO GRIFFIN (USA) 50/1 

I am backing our main man again here this week, remember I tipped him for the Houston Open bagging us a 60/1 winner only a month ago now.  

He just seems to tick every box to fit this course here. Six PGA Tour events down  

  • 6 Cuts Made – Winner – 6 Top 25’s – 1 Top 10 

The list goes on and on. He is somewhat of a birdie machine averaging over four a round. There are sure to be plenty of birdies out there this week, I am thinking the winning score will be around twenty under par. 

As for course experience, he has only played here once before and managed a 60th place a couple of years ago. But he is in such a better place now and should be able to take on this challenge.    

BRICE GARNETT (USA) 80/1 

Steady start to the season, hasn’t set anything alight yet anyway. Plenty to like here though this week.      

Previous Results: 

  • 2013 – MC 
  • 2014 – 6th  
  • 2015 – 7th  
  • 2017 – 25th  
  • 2018 – 5th 

What the team have pointed out to me is that he likes to play resort type courses. Even now he prefers playing on a resort nine hole with his friends. This should make him feel a lot more relaxed and could see him challenging for the win here this week.  

His 2019 season highlights actually include the win at Corales Puntacana Resort and he also shot four sub seventy round here at Mayakoba to finish in fifth place.  

More of the same and should go well.  

80/1 with Paddy Power paying 8 Places *Best Price*  

TAYLOR GOOCH (USA) 100/1 

You might not have heard too much about Taylor. But here is why the team at GBT are sometimes ahead of the rest. He has changed many things this season working with a really good mental and mind coach. This was noticeable with his pre shot routine in Houston, and it seemed to work picking up his best PGA Tour title finishing in 4th place.  

Another player who just loves to play coastal golf, a very good wind player and with his current form, I see no reason why he cannot challenge at the top of the leader board again this week.     

Good each way bet at 100/1 across many bookmakers.  

 

Player who was also on the GBT’s short list this week and is still worth a mention is: 

BRENDON TODD (USA) 110/1 

Strange to see him so highly priced, 28th in Houston and of course the winner in Bermuda. No reason why this good form should not continue. An few pounds each way could be worth it here. Coral have him at 100/1 paying 7 places. 110/1 with Bet365 paying 5 places.   

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