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Tips Re-Cap

DANIEL BERGER (USA) 28/1 – SKYBET 11 PLACES 

TOMMY FLEETWOOD (ENG) 30/1 – PADDY POWER 10 PLACES

MATT FITZPATRICK (ENG) 45/1 – SKYBET 11 PLACES

CHEZ REAVE (USA) 175/1 – SKYBET 11 PLACES

PAUL CASEY (ENG) 50/1 – PADDY POWER 10 PLACES

CAMERON CHAMP (USA) 100/1 – PADDY POWER 10 PLACES

BRENDAN TODD (USA)  80/1 – SKYBET 11 PLACES

KEVIN KISNER (USA)  90/1 – SKYBET 11 PLACES

All bets placed will be £5 each way. Total layout will be £80. I have used Sky Bet paying 11 places and Paddy Power paying 10 places. The odds have been taken when placing our bets through oddschecker at 4pm UK on the 14/9/20.

 US Open Notes

With no qualifying events this year due to COVID-19, the U.S. Open field is comprised of golfers from all around the world via various qualifications and exemptions including both professionals and amateurs… Brooks Koepka, who won back-to-back U.S. Open titles in 2017 and 2018 and was runner up in 2019 announced he would not play this year due to injury… Dustin Johnson, the FedExCup champion, will make his 2020-21 debut… Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele are amongst the group looking for their first major championship titles… Gary Woodland got to hold onto his U.S. Open trophy from 2019 for three extra months given the COVID-19 schedule bump. He’ll defend his major in New York… Tiger Woods will make his season debut, looking for his first U.S. Open title since 2008… Roommates Will Zalatoris and Davis Riley (Nos. 1 and 2, respectively, on the Korn Ferry Tour Points List) will be part of the 10-person contingent from the Korn Ferry Tour who earned spots.

The Course 

Winged Foot Golf Club (West Course), par 70, 7,477 yards. Designed by famed architect A.W. Tillinghast, the iconic New York club opened in 1923. Gil Hanse renovated the West Course in 2017. Winged Foot has been a longtime major championship venue, known for its punishing rough and difficult greens. It last hosted the U.S. Open in 2006, where the winning score (Geoff Ogilvy) was 5-over. Winged Foot has hosted four other U.S. Open’s in the past along with the 1997 PGA Championship, won by Davis Love III. Multi-time PGA TOUR winner Ryan Moore won the 2004 U.S. Amateur contested at Winged Foot

72-HOLE RECORD: 268, Rory McIlroy (2011 at Congressional CC).

18-HOLE RECORD:

 63, Johnny Miller (4th round, 1973 at Oakmont), Tom Weiskopf (1st round, 1980 at Baltusrol), Jack Nicklaus (1st round, 1980 at Baltusrol), Vijay Singh (2nd round, 2003 at Olympia Fields), Justin Thomas (3rd round, 2017 at Erin Hills), Tommy Fleetwood (4th round, 2018 at Shinnecock Hills).

Past US Open Champions

2000 Tiger Woods 272 Ernie Els 287
Miguel Angel Jiménez 287
2001 Retief Goosen 276 Mark Brooks 276
2002 Tiger Woods 277 Phil Mickelson 280
2003 Jim Furyk 272 Stephen Leaney 275
2004 Retief Goosen 276 Phil Mickelson 278
2005 Michael Campbell 280 Tiger Woods 282
2006 Geoff Ogilvy 285 Jim Furyk 286
Phil Mickelson 286
Colin Montgomerie 286
2007 Ángel Cabrera 285 Jim Furyk 286
Tiger Woods 286
2008 Tiger Woods 283 Rocco Mediate 283
2009 Lucas Glover 276 Ricky Barnes 278
David Duval 278
Phil Mickelson 278
2010 Graeme McDowell 284 Grégory Havret 285
2011 Rory McIlroy 268 Jason Day 276
2012 Webb Simpson 281 Graeme McDowell 282
Michael Thompson 282
2013 Justin Rose 281 Jason Day 283
Phil Mickelson 283
2014 Martin Kaymer 271 Erik Compton 279
Rickie Fowler 279
2015 Jordan Spieth 275 Dustin Johnson 276
Louis Oosthuizen 276
2016 Dustin Johnson 276 Jim Furyk 279
Shane Lowry 279
Scott Piercy 279
2017 Brooks Koepka 272 Brian Harman 276
Hideki Matsuyama 276
2018 Brooks Koepka 281 Tommy Fleetwood 282
2019 Gary Woodland 271 Brooks Koepka 274

MIKE’S PICKS  

MATT FITZPATRICK (ENG) 45/1

I am going to put Matt ahead of Tommy this week as my English hope. So has we all know this course is tough very tough and the winning score could be in the plus come Sunday night. Let’s take a look at his results this season of difficult tracks.  

  • WGC HSBC Champions – 7th
  • Arnold Palmer – 9th
  • The Memorial – 3rd
  • WGC St Jude – 6th
  • BMW – 6th

Pretty impressive reading don’t you think. His game just seems to fit courses like this where he grinds out a round and scores well. This is proven on the PGA website showing his strokes gained total over 44 rounds is over one shot a round better than the average.  

There is also no one in this field this week who has a better strokes gained putting than him.

With many bookies paying as many as 11 places this week he should be a good value bet here this week.

I am betting £5EW with SkyBet 45/1 paying 11 places.

DANIEL BERGER (USA) 28/1

In such a great run of form and I see no reason why this week will be any different.

Check out his best results this season so far:

17 Events played – 1 Win – 7 Top ten’s – 13 Top 25’s

He won the Charles Schwab Challenge back in June, shooting four great rounds of golf 65/67/67/66 to win at fifteen under par.

Three time winner on the PGA Tour and is I think just about ready to grab a Major to his collection.

Let’s also take a look at his key stats that will hopefully set him up for a chance to win this week:

  • SG Off the Tee – 27th
  • SG Putting – 17th
  • SG Tee to Green – 15th
  • SG Total – 6th

His Driving accuracy is not the best reading, his last two events have been two of his worst stats off the tee this season so sure that trend will change and should be back closer to that 70% mark.

Going to bet £5EW with Sky Bet 28/1 paying 11 places.    

CAMERON CHAMP (USA) 100/1

Loving this bet here this week at 100/1 Cameron is far better than this. With wins coming in 2019 at the Sanderson Farms and then just this year he picking up the Safeway Open victory.

His career is now ready to add a major to his trophy cabinet, the team followed him around this morning in practice and you can see why he sits in second place for strokes gained off the tee. He hit almost every fairway we saw him play, has a solid tee to green game as well.

We are taking a negative from his putter stats and turning this into a positive for this week, he has lost over a shot a round on the greens over his last three events. He has still managed a top twenty five from that? This can only improve if you take his six events previously he gains on the greens so can see this to be the case this week. He has a good record on fast putting surfaces.

Lots of good value for him this week Bet Fair Exchange are as high as 195/1. We are going with Paddy Power Bet £5EW 100/1 paying 10 places   

KEVIN KISNER (USA)  90/1

Kevin has had an incredible 2019/20 season. Along the way he has picked up ten top 25’s, four top ten’s and a couple of third places at the Rocket Mortgage and the Wyndham.

Lots to like and knocking my head to see why the bookies have him so high in the price market.

He is a good straight driver of the golf ball, a must around here “FACT”. He also ticks a lot of boxes for the team. He hasn’t finished outside the top twenty five since the Memorial back in July, he finished in 19th place at the PGA Championship and another good week at the Tour Championship finishing in 23rd place.

This guy can play we should know we tipped him to win the WGC Dell Match Play in 2019 and he did not disappoint winning with odds of 125/1.  

I am going for a £5EW bet here with Sky Bet 90/1 11 places   

TOMMY FLEETWOOD (ENG) 30/1

Did not like Tommy’s performance last Sunday as he tied with my pick Lagergren at 100/1 so cost us a bigger return in the end. George Coetzee should do the lottery this week he got out of jail to win that, but he was one of the favourites so still a good result for us.  

He should be flying in later on Monday evening so jet lag should not be a problem come Thursday, he will be well rested by then.

This season he has not really turned up on the PGA Tour apart from a good run at the Honda Classic back in January. He has been pretty average and was surprised to see him so low in the betting, would have had him around the same price at Matt.

His off the tee is something that cries out for me this week and one main reason the team have decided to go with him. And from what the team witnessed last week in Portugal the putter is finally behaving itself and should be a key factor here where the greens will be around 13 on the stimpmeter, so bogey avoidance will also play a part.  

Yet to win on the PGA Tour this would be a great time to start and no reason why not.

Betting £5EW with Paddy Power 30/1 paying 10 places.

CHEZ REAVE (USA) 175/1

Going to stick with Chez again this week and why not he picked us up a good third place last week, and with odds this high it was a no brainer for us.

Currently third in the FedEx I know early days but still what a start, and to close a weekend shooting 66/66 he must be buzzing to get out there this week and carry on this great run of form.

The main thing you get with him is a lot of fairways hit from the tee, and this is going to be number one around Winged Foot. Keeping the ball on the short stuff will be the most important factor this week, this rough is the worst we have seen it here for quite some time.

He is also a player who has had good results on tougher golf courses in the past so this should suit him.

I have gone back to the 2020 season for some stats as we are only one event in on the new season but here some key factors we like.

SG- Approach to the Green – 57 Rounds – Nearly half a shot better than the average

SG – Tee to Green – 57 Rounds – Over half a shot better than the average

Driving Accuracy 69.73% – 751 Fairways Hit from 1077

The putter is a worry and probably the reason he is so big in the market place. But if he can get this going who knows.

Going for a smaller EW bet here £5EW with Sky Bet 175/1 paying 11 places   

PAUL CASEY (ENG) 50/1

This track screams “Ball Strikers” there is only one player better than Paul Casey and that is Corey Conners for out and out ball striking.

Always been a good money return for us in the majors over the years, so I see no reason why it won’t continue this week.

  • SG Off the Tee – .546 – 15th
  • SG Approach to the Green – .631 – 9th
  • SG Tee to Green – .814 – 21st

Putting has cost him this season but this could be a track he will just seem to gel with. How has he not won a Major is a good question. He came very close at the PGA Championship this year where he was runner up, this was his first runner up place in a Major. So can he go one better this week?

I am going to say he should be in contention and at 50/1, it is a very good price for such a seasoned Pro with a good Major record.

I am going with Paddy Power 50/1 Bet £5EW 10 places.

BRENDAN TODD (USA)  80/1

My final pick for the US Open is Mr Brendan Todd with odds of around 90/1 he looks another solid each way bet for me.

What’s not to like to be honest?

  • Two time winner on the PGA Tour in the same season, back to back wins.
  • Tied 20th at the Tour Championship only a poor last round of 74, saw him slip down the leader board.  
  • Driving accuracy 71.36% – 4th on the PGA Tour
  • Scrambling 66.10% – 3rd on the PGA Tour
  • SG Putting .498 – 20th on the PGA Tour – One Putt Percentage 43.73% – 5th on the PGA Tour

This guy can putt and he is on a 92 hole streak at the moment without a three putt, if he keeps this going he will be gaining nearly a shot on the field average per round this week. He is also at the top of the leader board for the most consecutive fairways hit with 33 only Chez and Ryan ahead of him with 37.

Going to place a £5EW bet here with Sky Bet 80/1 paying 11 places.

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