Tips Re-Cap

PAUL CASEY (ENG) 50/1 – PADDY POWER 10 PLACES

CAMERON CHAMP (USA) 100/1 – PADDY POWER 10 PLACES

BRENDAN TODD (USA)  80/1 – SKYBET 11 PLACES

KEVIN KISNER (USA)  90/1 – SKYBET 11 PLACES

All bets placed will be £5 each way. Total layout will be £80. I have used Sky Bet paying 11 places and Paddy Power paying 10 places. The odds have been taken when placing our bets through oddschecker at 4pm UK on the 14/9/20.

The Course 

Winged Foot Golf Club (West Course), par 70, 7,477 yards. Designed by famed architect A.W. Tillinghast, the iconic New York club opened in 1923. Gil Hanse renovated the West Course in 2017. Winged Foot has been a longtime major championship venue, known for its punishing rough and difficult greens. It last hosted the U.S. Open in 2006, where the winning score (Geoff Ogilvy) was 5-over. Winged Foot has hosted four other U.S. Open’s in the past along with the 1997 PGA Championship, won by Davis Love III. Multi-time PGA TOUR winner Ryan Moore won the 2004 U.S. Amateur contested at Winged Foot

72-HOLE RECORD: 268, Rory McIlroy (2011 at Congressional CC).

18-HOLE RECORD:

 63, Johnny Miller (4th round, 1973 at Oakmont), Tom Weiskopf (1st round, 1980 at Baltusrol), Jack Nicklaus (1st round, 1980 at Baltusrol), Vijay Singh (2nd round, 2003 at Olympia Fields), Justin Thomas (3rd round, 2017 at Erin Hills), Tommy Fleetwood (4th round, 2018 at Shinnecock Hills).

Past US Open Champions

MIKE’S PICKS  

TOMMY FLEETWOOD (ENG) 30/1

Did not like Tommy’s performance last Sunday as he tied with my pick Lagergren at 100/1 so cost us a bigger return in the end. George Coetzee should do the lottery this week he got out of jail to win that, but he was one of the favourites so still a good result for us.  

He should be flying in later on Monday evening so jet lag should not be a problem come Thursday, he will be well rested by then.

This season he has not really turned up on the PGA Tour apart from a good run at the Honda Classic back in January. He has been pretty average and was surprised to see him so low in the betting, would have had him around the same price at Matt.

His off the tee is something that cries out for me this week and one main reason the team have decided to go with him. And from what the team witnessed last week in Portugal the putter is finally behaving itself and should be a key factor here where the greens will be around 13 on the stimpmeter, so bogey avoidance will also play a part.  

Yet to win on the PGA Tour this would be a great time to start and no reason why not.

Betting £5EW with Paddy Power 30/1 paying 10 places.

CHEZ REAVE (USA) 175/1

Going to stick with Chez again this week and why not he picked us up a good third place last week, and with odds this high it was a no brainer for us.

Currently third in the FedEx I know early days but still what a start, and to close a weekend shooting 66/66 he must be buzzing to get out there this week and carry on this great run of form.

The main thing you get with him is a lot of fairways hit from the tee, and this is going to be number one around Winged Foot. Keeping the ball on the short stuff will be the most important factor this week, this rough is the worst we have seen it here for quite some time.

He is also a player who has had good results on tougher golf courses in the past so this should suit him.

I have gone back to the 2020 season for some stats as we are only one event in on the new season but here some key factors we like.

SG- Approach to the Green – 57 Rounds – Nearly half a shot better than the average

SG – Tee to Green – 57 Rounds – Over half a shot better than the average

Driving Accuracy 69.73% – 751 Fairways Hit from 1077

The putter is a worry and probably the reason he is so big in the market place. But if he can get this going who knows.

Going for a smaller EW bet here £5EW with Sky Bet 175/1 paying 11 places   

PAUL CASEY (ENG) 50/1

This track screams “Ball Strikers” there is only one player better than Paul Casey and that is Corey Conners for out and out ball striking.

Always been a good money return for us in the majors over the years, so I see no reason why it won’t continue this week.

• SG Off the Tee – .546 – 15^th
• SG Approach to the Green – .631 – 9^th
• SG Tee to Green – .814 – 21^st

Putting has cost him this season but this could be a track he will just seem to gel with. How has he not won a Major is a good question. He came very close at the PGA Championship this year where he was runner up, this was his first runner up place in a Major. So can he go one better this week?

I am going to say he should be in contention and at 50/1, it is a very good price for such a seasoned Pro with a good Major record.

I am going with Paddy Power 50/1 Bet £5EW 10 places.

BRENDAN TODD (USA)  80/1

My final pick for the US Open is Mr Brendan Todd with odds of around 90/1 he looks another solid each way bet for me.

What’s not to like to be honest?

• Two time winner on the PGA Tour in the same season, back to back wins.
• Tied 20^th at the Tour Championship only a poor last round of 74, saw him slip down the leader board.  
• Driving accuracy 71.36% – 4^th on the PGA Tour
• Scrambling 66.10% – 3^rd on the PGA Tour
• SG Putting .498 – 20^th on the PGA Tour – One Putt Percentage 43.73% – 5^th on the PGA Tour

This guy can putt and he is on a 92 hole streak at the moment without a three putt, if he keeps this going he will be gaining nearly a shot on the field average per round this week. He is also at the top of the leader board for the most consecutive fairways hit with 33 only Chez and Ryan ahead of him with 37.

Going to place a £5EW bet here with Sky Bet 80/1 paying 11 places.